The GOP strategic calculus for winning the upcoming election is based not on logic but witch-doctor politics.
The GOP is pursuing a curious, zero-sum strategy to win the upcoming election: risk the nation in a desperate play to win the election by puffing up the economy temporarily at the risk of provoking a pandemic explosion after Election Day. The GOP strategy is zero-sum because the GOP only wins by causing the voters to lose, an odd way to become popular, to put it mildly. With the whole country resembling Florida by November, the GOP supposes that American voters will be more desperate for jobs than terrified of exploding Coronavirus death rates.
It is difficult to understand the logic of the GOP stance, but the explanation appears to be that it in fact has no logic—being instead based on the following error: the GOP believes that a choice exists between a healthy economy and a healthy population. It is surely obvious to anyone who stops to think that workers terrified of bringing Coronavirus home to their families will be very reluctant to go to work and most workers cannot work from home. Moreover, if the workers themselves are sick, they will be home in bed. Therefore, a healthy economy requires a healthy workforce: the route to a booming economy is a population of working people both healthy and confident of staying healthy.
Why don’t the members of the GOP elite understand this? Simple, actually: the GOP elite is composed of rich people.
Rich people, in general, have a bias: they see themselves as special (and they are—they have good health care). Hence, they forget that the source of all that money they have sucked away from the rest of society is…all those millions who are working. The rich are calculating that they can persuade more than half the voters to vote for rich people who are simultaneously making them poorer and making them sick. The man in the street may indeed get suckered one more time, but hospitals have already maxed out their ICU’s in multiple red state regions, and the word is getting out. Storing corpses in emergency refrigerated trucks [e.g., in Texas or Florida] eventually gets noticed…
Yet it is not actually all that hard to imagine a logical policy for achieving control over the pandemic as the first step toward sustainable economic growth:
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minimize and manage mass amusements, perhaps allowing well-policed beaching by admitting those with last names beginning with A-C to go to a public beach within 50 miles of home every other Tuesday, etc.);
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prohibit parties, at home and elsewhere, with more than two friends;
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eliminate indoor attendance at unnecessary public amusements (e.g., bars, gyms) with financial support for business owners to transfer such activities into well-policed open areas by appointment only;
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mandate masks whenever encountering others;require that all large gatherings register with medical officials in advance and present a plan for complete identification of participants and follow-up contact tracing for one month;
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to boost the economy, set up desperately needed rural health clinics; fund low-cost ambulance service for all rural and urban areas (at a minimum for those who have lost jobs due to Coronavirus); redesign schools to maximize student safety; build healthy meat-packing plants;
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define conditions for easing up, make clear that compliance with rules to control the disease is all about everyone cooperating, and harshly punish those who do not care about their neighbors.
Even rich GOP elitists could think up such logical rules for giving everyone an even chance to have a little fun in acceptable safety with Federal financial support…if they truly wanted a healthy workforce and a strong economy. In reality, no choice exists between a strong economy and a healthy society: these are two sides of the same coin. The GOP elite is, however, not playing for the long run; they just want to stay in power and are willing to sacrifice the long-term for victory in November, hoping that they can pull a fast one again and keep Trump even as a minority president for one more term.
Binary choices are usually nothing more than simplistic dreams; reality is not quite that simple. In our current situation, things are not truly too complicated, however. We just need to think logically about the process (first, control the pandemic; then, ease into the economy by demonstrating that we can protect our children in school and our workers on the job). Accept the need for such a logical process, then design and enforce for everyone a set of policies to govern for society as a whole. But the rich do not naturally think of solving problems for the benefit of all; on the contrary, they see the world as a place of privilege, not the common good, and they naturally think about protecting their privileges.
Hence, the GOP elite is not even looking for solutions; it is looking for privilege—for the advantage of its privileged members. The GOP elite sees the world in binary terms: “us rich” vs “you others.” The common good is not considered; the GOP elite mindset does not even allow for a positive-sum outcome. “Zero sum” means someone has to lose, and for someone accustomed to privilege, that is the only option. Sharing, considering the common good would automatically require a reduction in the degree of privilege. When you spend your life maximizing your own personal privilege, it is very difficult to imagine shaving even a little off your big, fat piece of the pie.
Zero-sum thinking is a trap, blinding one to feasible alternatives that would spring into view if the mind were open to analyzing problems from the perspective of searching for positive-sum solutions. Investing in education for all is a positive-sum strategy: a more educated population generates more creative solutions, expanding national wealth [see Joseph Stiglitz, People, Power, and Profits]. Reserving education for the children of the elite to maintain the privileged status of the rich is a zero-sum strategy in our highly competitive global environment causes a country to lag further and further behind. Exactly the same distinction applies to the positive-sum strategy of health care for all (including a national policy to combat epidemics) vs. the zero-sum strategy of dividing society into a privileged elite protected from disease and a mass of sick workers.
Sadly, the GOP elite has its eyes trained like a laser on retaining power by betting everything on a simplistic and false binary choice: momentarily revive the economy on the backs of dead workers or destroy the Republican Party and (who knows) perhaps the Republic. The GOP electoral campaign thus stands teetering on a see-saw, one foot on a raging epidemic, the other on a sick economy–feeling for just the right balance to avoid falling off before Election Day.
As the GOP continues to punish American workers by depriving them of financial assistance while threatening them with witch-doctor cures for the pandemic the GOP is fostering by its own internally contradictory policy, one cannot but wonder when American workers will start demonstrating with demands for lockdown as the road to a healthy economy.
The GOP calculus of victory is witch-doctor politics. Can workers break the spell?
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Aug. 3 Note: Imagine the cross-benefits (i.e., to both the economy and everyone’s health) if lockdown were so managed as to restrain mass gatherings while also funding the physical redesign of businesses and classrooms to protect workers, customers, and children! Not rocket science; where there’s a will, there are many ways.