Many factors, mostly long-lasting dynamics rather than discrete events, influence Mideast chaos, and they work in non-linear fashion at very different tempos. Here’s a simple map of some factors discussed in this blog.
Two key dynamics causing frustration in Muslim societies are the vicious cycle of “arms for oil” and the now virtually universal attitude of global regimes that (borrowed from the old Likudnik attitude) war is the answer to all questions. Resulting Muslim frustration feeds back in numerous ways but eventually results in refugee flows.
Arms for Oil —> Muslim Frustration <—War Is the Answer |