Mossad, Israel’s intelligence service, agrees with the American intelligence assessments, even while Israeli political leaders have been pushing for quick, aggressive action to block Iran from becoming what they describe as an existential threat to the Jewish state….
Just as in 2010, new evidence about the Iranian nuclear program delayed the National Intelligence Estimate in 2007, the last previous assessment. Current and former American officials say that a draft version of the assessment had been completed when the United States began to collect surprising intelligence suggesting that Iran had suspended its weapons program and disbanded its weapons team four years earlier.
The draft version had concluded that the Iranians were still trying to build a bomb, the same finding of a 2005 assessment. But as they scrutinized the new intelligence from several sources, including intercepted communications in which Iranian officials were heard complaining to one another about stopping the program, the American intelligence officials decided they had to change course, officials said. While enrichment activities continued, the evidence that Iran had halted its weapons program in 2003 at the direction of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was too strong to ignore, they said.
One former senior official characterized the information as very persuasive. “I had high confidence in it,” he said. “There was tremendous evidence that the program had been halted.”And today, despite criticism of that assessment from some outside observers and hawkish politicians, American intelligence analysts still believe that the Iranians have not gotten the go-ahead from Ayatollah Khamenei to revive the program.“That assessment,” said one American official, “holds up really well.”
If you read it carefully all the way to the end—where the meat of the article is hidden, the NYThas just totally blown the cover off the warmongering campaign of politicians in Israel and the U.S. advocating a war against Iran. In a word, the official intelligence assessment in both countries is that Iran does not even have a nuclear weapons program, much less actual bombs. No wonder former Mossad chief Meir Dagan felt he had to go on 60 Minutes to warn against attacking Iran, despite his obvious desire to see Iranian emergence onto the regional stage deflected.
So, there is no threat, though of course if we threaten them enough, someday they might try to mount a threat. Now why would Israeli and U.S. politicians want to do that?